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FEATURED Article
NCCI
Continued Gains for Workers’ Comp
For the 11th consecutive year, the workers’ compensation insurance industry maintained profitability with a combined ratio of 86% in 2024. Workers’ compensation remains one of the most profitable among all property & casualty lines, according to the most-recent report from the National Council on Compensation Insurance.
Donna Glenn, FCAS, MAAA, chief actuary, NCCI, called the 14-point underwriting gain, “a metric of significant underwriting profitability,” adding “the workers’ compensation system continues an era of exceptional performance with strong results and a financially healthy line. And while there are early indications of potential headwinds on the horizon, the industry is positioned well to navigate these challenges.”
Among other highlights:
- The 2024 accident year combined ratio was 99%, with prior years continuing to experience downward reserve development
- NCCI estimates a redundant industry reserve position of $16B
- Lost-time claim frequency declined by 5% in 2024, a faster pace of decline than the long-term average. NCCI expects that the long-term downwards trend in frequency will likely continue for at least the near future
- Workers’ compensation results have been strong, with over a decade of operating gains and 10 straight years of operating gains greater than the long-term average of 14%
- However, severity grew in 2024 with increases of 6% for medical claim severity and 6% for indemnity claim severity
- ccident Years 2022–2024 each saw larger-than-average increases in indemnity severity. The larger-than-average changes are largely driven by significant wage increases in recent years.
- Workers’ compensation net written premium decreased 3% in 2024
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Workers’ compensation was the only line in property & casualty to record premium decreases, driven by decreases in rates that exceeded the pace of payroll growth in 2024. The premium decreases were widespread geographically, with 31 states experiencing decreases in direct written premium. Since premiums in other commercial lines have increased over the past 20 years, workers’ compensation now accounts for only 10% of the market, down from 17% in 2004, reports Donna Glenn, NCCI’s chief actuary.
NCCI says premiums nationwide are expected to decrease by an average of 6.1% from 2024 to 2025 as a result of loss cost/rate changes in approved NCCI filings The most recent filings resulted in decreases for nearly every NCCI state, including North Carolina, where last fall the North Carolina Rate Bureau approved indicated and filed voluntary loss cost of – 5.2%, effective April 1, 2025.
Additionally, NCCI notes the labor market remained in solid shape through early April, with employment growth concentrated in healthcare, transportation, and warehousing. Other industries saw little growth. Growth in transportation and warehousing may be related to increased logistics activity ahead of the coming implementation of tariffs.
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